Thursday, January 10, 2008

Violent Crime Down in '07

Violent Crime Down In First Half of '07:

"The number of violent crimes reported nationwide appears to have fallen modestly in the first half of 2007, signaling the first notable decline in violence in two years, the FBI said yesterday.

"Violent crimes including homicides, robberies and assaults fell 1.8 percent in January to June of last year compared with the same period in 2006, according to the preliminary FBI statistics.

"The largest declines were in the Northeast and in cities with more than 250,000 residents, while crime in rural areas and cities with fewer than 25,000 residents increased 1.1 percent. The number of homicides in suburbs rose by 5 percent.

"The new data show that property crimes also fell by 2.6 percent, while arson -- which is tallied separately -- plunged nearly 10 percent. But the report does not include absolute numbers, making it impossible to determine whether the volume of crime has returned to the levels that preceded the recent increase. It is also unclear whether the downward trend will hold for all of 2007."

It always surprises students when I tell them how long it takes the FBI to calculate a year's worth of crime statistics in its UCR, but on average slightly more than 8 months. We'll know the final '07 numbers in September of this year.

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